Super Bowl System (32-3-2 ATS)
This was found on one of my favorite handicapping sites... I don't wanna lose it so I'll save it in my blog. Here's the link:
Everyedge Handicapping Forums - Super Bowl System (32-3-2 ATS)
Posted by Reddog
Here is a system that I have used for the last few years. It did lose last year with Oakland. The Oakland loss was the only loss in the last 19 Super Bowls and is 32-3-2 ATS. Hank Stram had a system that was somewhat like this but this one has been changed to add numbers that can be researched.
Use Regular season stats only. Only 1 team should get points from each category. Stats can be found at different websites. Obviously, New England will get 10 points for winning a Super Bowl in the last 3 years and get another 8 since Carolina has not been in a Super Bowl. (It looks as if the Pats will be a big favorite in this system).
Please research these and post your total. This total will represent who should be favored and by how many. I will post previous Super Bowl results if you are interested. GL!
Points
10 If team has won the Super Bowl in last 3 years
8 if an opponent is going to their first Super Bowl
8 to the team that allows fewer defensive rushes
7 give to team with most offensive rushes
7 award the team with best overall record (straight up)
5 to the team with the lowest def. rush average per carry
4 give 4 pts. to the team with the better ATS record
4 to the team that has the superior NET penalty yards
4 to the team with the best NET kick-punt TD returns
3.5 team with the best yds per pass attempt
3.5 to the team that gave up the fewest points
3.5 allowed the fewest rushing TD's
3 award 3 points to the team with the most sacks
2.5 team with the fewest offensive pass attempts
2 team with the best NET punts (total) on the season
1.5 add to the team with the best avg. per off. rush
1 add 1 to the team with the best completion percent
Someone did the math and it's came out to NE 49 CAR 20... Not even close. Remember to take this with a grain of salt. Don't let this totally sway you.